Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.046445 0.050058 0.053824 0.058048 0.062657 0.067537 0.073101
2025-12-28 0.039890 0.045215 0.051094 0.058086 0.066198 0.075340 0.086462
2026-01-04 0.035254 0.041644 0.049041 0.058280 0.069572 0.083000 0.100289
2026-01-11 0.031332 0.038290 0.046667 0.057572 0.071501 0.088846 0.112309
2026-01-18 0.028440 0.035782 0.044924 0.057258 0.073637 0.094882 0.124922
2026-01-25 0.025811 0.033293 0.042885 0.056233 0.074570 0.099230 0.135508
2026-02-01 0.023370 0.030803 0.040572 0.054544 0.074320 0.101783 0.143647
2026-02-08 0.021400 0.028758 0.038655 0.053162 0.074267 0.104459 0.152033
2026-02-15 0.019747 0.027012 0.036986 0.051945 0.074267 0.107093 0.160454
2026-02-22 0.018767 0.026121 0.036427 0.052237 0.076435 0.113021 0.174397
2026-03-01 0.017384 0.024556 0.034784 0.050778 0.075797 0.114544 0.181354
2026-03-08 0.015897 0.022743 0.032657 0.048423 0.073561 0.113325 0.183583
2026-03-15 0.014883 0.021593 0.031472 0.047476 0.073540 0.115751 0.192401
2026-03-22 0.014352 0.021139 0.031311 0.048126 0.076149 0.122723 0.209887
2026-03-29 0.013809 0.020630 0.031030 0.048555 0.078413 0.129289 0.227340
2026-04-05 0.013110 0.019836 0.030248 0.048098 0.079121 0.133193 0.240233
2026-04-12 0.012523 0.019184 0.029648 0.047893 0.080233 0.137874 0.255073
2026-04-19 0.011857 0.018366 0.028731 0.047079 0.080187 0.140417 0.265926
2026-04-26 0.011132 0.017416 0.027540 0.045709 0.079025 0.140764 0.272323
2026-05-03 0.010508 0.016599 0.026527 0.044584 0.078221 0.141704 0.280012
2026-05-10 0.009953 0.015869 0.025621 0.043591 0.077583 0.142892 0.288316
2026-05-17 0.009656 0.015556 0.025408 0.043831 0.079292 0.148825 0.307581
2026-05-24 0.009132 0.014834 0.024449 0.042638 0.078134 0.148868 0.313621